On the other hand,上海会所he past, the Fed now has t

to take the delayed effect of balance sheet reduction conducted earlier into its consideration of rate cuts. The current phase-out of balanc

上海会所e sheet reduction already has some easing effect, and only after the balance sheet reduction ends in September, can its impact become clearer.

By incorporating that impact into consideration, the Fed can draw up a better rate cut plan that maximizes effects of the policy mix.上海会所

Thirdly, the market may have overestimated how much the Fed will cut the rates. There may be no more than three rate cuts by the end of 2020.

St. Louis Fed President James Bullard – the major advocate of this

round of rate cut – has suggested the use of the modern-day Taylor rule, which fairly well explains th上海会所

e Fed’s interest rate decisions. Even based on this model adopted by dovish Fed officials, we found that the degree of rate cuts may be weaker than m

上海会所arket expectation for quite some time going forward: at most one cut by the end of this year and likely two or three cuts by the end of 2020.

By contrast, before the June FOMC meeting, the market expected a higher-than-85-percent chance of more than one rate cut by the

end of this year as well as an about 60-percent chance of more than three cuts by the end of 2020, according to Bloomberg data.上海会所品茶微信

In conclusion, we think as economic downside pressure gradually emerges, the Fed will have to kick off the rate cut cycle. But the rate cut si上海会所品茶微信

gnal, timing and degree may not measure up to the market expectation. Therefore, two future developments appear possible:

First, investor sentiment can reverse drastically if the Fed’s action fails to meet market expec上海会所品茶微信

tation. Considering the market has fully priced in the unrealistic expectation of rate cuts sinc

e early June, any reversal of expectation can lead to short-term fluctuations of key price signals such as the US Treasury yield cu

rve, the US Dollar Index, and the gold price, which may pose extensive spillover shocks to asset portfolios.

Second, the long-term trend of rate cuts will continue even if the market expectation reverses. In the long

run, the Fed is expected to proceed with rate cuts in a fairly slow and smooth way. This will enlarge the monetary policy room of ot

her major economies and expedite the shift toward an easing global monetary environment, which may in turn lift the sen

timent of global stock markets and ease any currency risk of emerging markets gradually.

Cheng Shi is the managing director, head of research and chief economist of ICBC Interna

tional Holdings Ltd.Qian Zhijun is a senior economist of ICBC International Holdings Ltd.

chitudoudemao.cn

Such investments will b上海千花坊品茶微信nd importance in

n our cities, whe上海千花坊品茶微信re more than half the world’s population now lives and 70 percent of GDP is cre

ated, to ensure they are places where we can live, breathe, move safely and be productive,” Stern said.

The G20 nations must lead by example on this imperative, Stern said, and especially the world’s two biggest economies, the US and China.

“China is demonstrating leadership through its significant investments in zero-carbon energy, particularly rene

wable power,” he said. “China’s support for solar power has directly contributed to the astonishingly rapid fall in

he production costs of panel units, making it now the cheapest source of electricity in many parts of the world.”

Stern also noted that China can provide even greater leadership through the Belt and Road Initiative if it e

ncourages the application of robust sustainability tests to investments in new infrastructure in partner countries.

changjiangjiaoxiang.cn

Australian-born Assan上海千花网品茶微信aximum penal

ty of 10 years in 上海千花网品茶微信prison for each charge. He was initially accused of violating the US Espionage Act.

He was sentenced to 50 weeks in jail in May for breaching the Bail

Act in Britain after having been expelled from Ecuador’s Embassy in London, where he was gra

nted refuge in 2012 while on bail in Britain over sexual assault allegations against him in Sweden.

Assange has said that he does not consent to being extradited to the US over charges related to leaking government secrets.

More evidence and details emerged as prosecutors laid out their cas

e in the federal death penalty trial of Brendt Christe

nsen in the slaying of 26-year-old missing Chinese scholar Zhang Yingying, at the federal courthouse on Thursday.

Christensen, 29, a former physics graduate student at the University of Illinois,

is accused of picking up Zhang at a campus bus stop, then raping and torturing her in his apartment,

www.hbLumei.com

d other leaders of the Sha上海千花网女神会所n Organizatio

member count上海千花网女神会所ries and observer states, as well as r

epresentatives of regional and international bodies, head for group photo

s during the 19th meeting of the Council of Heads of State of the SCO in Bishkek, Kyrgyzstan, June

Xi called for joint efforts to fight the three evil forces — terrorism, separatism and extremism — as well as be

efing up security measures and halting the flow of terrorists and extremist forces.

Noting that Afghanistan is a neighbor of SCO countries and an important observer state in the organiz

ation, Xi said the SCO firmly supports an Afghan-owned and Afghan-led peace and reconciliation process.

SCO countries should cultivate new cooperation areas in such fields

as digital economy, ecommerce, artificial intelligence and big data, he said.

www.shejio.org

Three years after he was filmed taking part in the

bike protest, Sau上海419论坛品茶微信di authorities arrested Qureiris, then just 13 years old. He was traveling with his fami

ly to Bahrain when he was detained by Saudi border authorities on the King Fahd causeway that connects the two countries.

At the time, he was considered by lawyers and activists to be the youngest known political prisoner in Saudi Arabia.

Now, at the age of 18, Qureiris is facing the death penalty after being

held for almost four years in pre-trial detention, CNN has learned.n April, Saudi Arabia anno

unced it had executed 37 men who, according to rights group Reprieve, were mostly from the kingdom’s Shia minor

ity. The country has one of the highest rates of execution in the world, and has frequently been criticized by rig

hts groups for executing people who were minors at the time of the commission of crimes.

Qureiris was 10 years old when he committed at least one of those alleged crimes in his charge sheet, CNN has learn

ed. He was charged with accompanying his activist brother, Ali Qureris, on a motorcycle ride to a police sta

tion in the eastern Saudi city of Awamiya, where Ali allegedly threw Molotov cocktails at the facility.

www.qsnsjb.org

Minister General Wei Fenghe speaks at the Shangri-La Dialo

The People’s Liberation Army will adamantly support regional and world peace, but will not be

“bullied or preyed upon” by foreign powers into giving up national sovereignty and legitimate int

erests, State Councilor and Defense Minister General Wei Fenghe said on Sunday in Singapore.

Experts said Wei’s speech at the Shangri-La Dialogue, a key defense summ

it, marked a milestone in Chinese military diplomacy as Wei showcased the PLA’s confide

nce, positions on key issues and its sincerity and willingness to exchange and cooperate with other countries.

It is the first time in eight years that a Chinese defense minister has participated in the event.

Building a community with a shared future for mankind is the right path forward an

d the trend of the times amid growing uncertainty and instability around the world, he said.

www.zsdbv.cn

So by holding lectures, conducting dialogues and screen

ning movies related to the countryside and contributed by guest authors, the region’s local literary legacy can both be re-examined and extended.

Many modern and contemporary works of Chinese literature touch on common rural issues – childhood upbringing, family inheritance and people’s exp

erience of being stuck on the bottom rung of society – that have been rooted in Chinese farming culture for thousands of years.

China’s urbanization has been rapidly progressing to the extent that rural life has become

something unfamiliar to the majority of the population, which is very different from what it was like just three de

cades ago, according to Ge Fei, author and a Chinese literature professor at Tsinghua University in Beijing.

He was rst day of the festival, interpreting what it means to us when rural societies fade away.

qianpadae.com

So by holding lectures, conducting dialogues and screen

ning movies related to the countryside and contributed by guest authors, the region’s local literary legacy can both be re-examined and extended.

Many modern and contemporary works of Chinese literature touch on common rural issues – childhood upbringing, family inheritance and people’s exp

erience of being stuck on the bottom rung of society – that have been rooted in Chinese farming culture for thousands of years.

China’s urbanization has been rapidly progressing to the extent that rural life has become

something unfamiliar to the majority of the population, which is very different from what it was like just three de

cades ago, according to Ge Fei, author and a Chinese literature professor at Tsinghua University in Beijing.

He was rst day of the festival, interpreting what it means to us when rural societies fade away.

qianpadae.com

When asked if China will stop exporting rare earth mat

aterials to the US, Gao Feng, the ministry’s spokesman, said China

has been the world’s largest supplier of rare earth materials and has always been keen to m

eet the demand of its trade partners on this material to promote the rare earth industry.

The ministry made the remarks after the Trump administration starting May 10 raised tariffs on Chinese goods and rest

ricted Huawei’s business operations, which has harmed the interests of companies and financial markets on both sides.

“While satisfying domestic demand, China is always willing to fulfill other coun

tries’ rightful needs for rare earth materials,” he said. “But if any country plans to use the rare earth materials that Ch

ina exports to make products that will suppress China’s development, it is not acceptable.”

www.12xe6.cn

Ameesha Chauhan, who is in a hospital in Kathmandu

andu recovering from frostbite she contracted during crowded conditions, told AFP that cli

mbers without basic skills should be barred to prevent a recurrence of this year’s deadly season.

The 29-year-old Indian had to wait 20 minutes to come down from the peak. She saw some clim

bers without basic skills fully relying on their Sherpa guides. Officials should change the qualification cri

teria. Poorly trained climbers put their own lives at risk and also the lives of the Sherpas, Chauhan said.

Some climbers died due to their own negligen

ce. They insisted on reaching the top even when their oxygen was running out, she added.

New European Parliament reflects divided policy options

gzbbwhl.com